Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio de O Couto
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.36)
1.37 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.0% | 28.0% | 55.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.3%
0 - 0
14.1%
0 - 2
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ourense CF | 0 | 14.1% | 19.3% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ourense CF | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 17% | 33% |
| Defense | 75% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
4 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ourense CF | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 9% | 20% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 20% | 83% | 55% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 60% | 17% | 36% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
Form: Ourense CF: DDLLLDDLDWD • Guadalajara: LWWWDLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Ourense CF | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ourense CF | Guadalajara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 55% | 56% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 36% | 33% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 18% | 22% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ourense CF | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ourense CF | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ourense CF | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ourense CF | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ourense CF or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ourense CF = 0.59 (league 1.36), Guadalajara = 1.37 (league 1.02)
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ourense CF | 0 | 14.1% | 19.3% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 55.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1