Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 15:00 • Campo de Lasesarre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.36) 0.96 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 31.6% 34.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.7%
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Racing Ferrol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barakaldo 0 14.7% 14.1% 6.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.5% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.7% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarakaldoRacing Ferrol
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack31%44%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barakaldo Racing Ferrol
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins50%0%25%57%60%58%
Draws50%67%58%29%0%17%
Loses0%33%17%14%40%25%

Form: Barakaldo: LDWDDDWDWDDL • Racing Ferrol: WWWLDDWWLLWW

League goals

Metric Barakaldo Racing Ferrol
HATHAT
GF total85139716
GF avg1.30.81.11.31.41.3
GA total48126511
GA avg0.71.31.00.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarakaldoRacing Ferrol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%83%67%
1.533%17%42%25%
2.50%0%8%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarakaldoRacing Ferrol
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score123202

Penalties

MetricBarakaldoRacing Ferrol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBarakaldoRacing Ferrol
Wins13
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-10-2
Biggest losses—2-00-22-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricBarakaldoRacing Ferrol
Form40%60%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Racing Ferrol

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ 188Bet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barakaldo = 0.96 (league 1.36), Racing Ferrol = 0.96 (league 1.02)

Racing Ferrol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barakaldo 0 14.7% 14.1% 6.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.5% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.7% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 34.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1