Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.38) 0.78 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 41.5% 42.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.7%
0 - 1
24.7%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta de Vigo II 0 31.7% 24.7% 9.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.7% 9.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelta de Vigo IIPonferradina
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack44%31%
Defense31%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celta de Vigo II Ponferradina
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%33%50%33%33%33%
Draws17%33%25%17%50%33%
Loses17%33%25%50%17%33%

Form: Celta de Vigo II: DLWWWWDLWDWL • Ponferradina: WLLLDLWWDWDD

League goals

Metric Celta de Vigo II Ponferradina
HATHAT
GF total107178513
GF avg1.71.21.41.30.81.1
GA total69158210
GA avg1.01.51.31.30.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelta de Vigo IIPonferradina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%67%67%42%
1.550%33%33%25%
2.517%17%8%17%
3.517%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelta de Vigo IIPonferradina
HATHAT
Clean sheets224257
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricCelta de Vigo IIPonferradina
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCelta de Vigo IIPonferradina
Wins42
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-42-00-3
Biggest losses0-14-01-32-1
Goals For4423
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricCelta de Vigo IIPonferradina
Form44%56%
Att58%42%
Def8%92%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h20%80%
Goals38%63%
Total33.5%66.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ponferradina

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.72 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Celta de Vigo II = 0.37 (league 1.38), Ponferradina = 0.78 (league 1.03)

Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta de Vigo II 0 31.7% 24.7% 9.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.7% 9.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 41.5% · Away win 42.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1