Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:15 • Estadio Anxo Carro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.36) 0.41 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.7% 42.5% 18.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.2%
1 - 0
23.2%
0 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Pontevedra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 32.2% 13.3% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 9.6% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugoPontevedra
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack55%73%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugo Pontevedra
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins60%0%25%33%33%33%
Draws40%57%50%50%33%42%
Loses0%43%25%17%33%25%

Form: Lugo: LDLWLWDWDDDD • Pontevedra: DWLLWWLDDWDD

League goals

Metric Lugo Pontevedra
HATHAT
GF total731010414
GF avg1.40.40.81.70.71.2
GA total3698412
GA avg0.60.90.81.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugoPontevedra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%58%67%83%
1.525%17%33%17%
2.50%0%8%0%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugoPontevedra
HATHAT
Clean sheets325022
Failed to score145134

Penalties

MetricLugoPontevedra
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLugoPontevedra
Wins12
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-11-2
Biggest losses—2-10-21-0
Goals For2142
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricLugoPontevedra
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total52.8%47.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pontevedra and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.98 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lugo = 0.72 (league 1.36), Pontevedra = 0.41 (league 1.02)

Pontevedra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 32.2% 13.3% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 9.6% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 42.5% · Away win 18.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1