Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio Municipal de Pasarón
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.38) 1.00 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.7% 23.7% 21.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Guadalajara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontevedra 0 6.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.3% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.6% 5.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPontevedraGuadalajara
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack38%19%
Defense75%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pontevedra Guadalajara
HATHAT
Played67136511
Wins33%29%31%17%40%27%
Draws50%29%38%17%20%18%
Loses17%43%31%67%40%55%

Form: Pontevedra: DWLLWWLDDWDDL • Guadalajara: LWWWDLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Pontevedra Guadalajara
HATHAT
GF total104148412
GF avg1.70.61.11.30.81.1
GA total851312719
GA avg1.30.71.02.01.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePontevedraGuadalajara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%85%55%73%
1.531%15%36%55%
2.58%0%18%36%
3.58%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPontevedraGuadalajara
HATHAT
Clean sheets022123
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricPontevedraGuadalajara
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricPontevedraGuadalajara
Wins23
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-21-00-23-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against2143

Model comparison

MetricPontevedraGuadalajara
Form86%14%
Att67%33%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total72.3%27.8%

Advice: Double chance : Pontevedra or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ Unibet
Draw3.29 @ Pinnacle
Away5.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.57 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pontevedra = 1.73 (league 1.38), Guadalajara = 1.00 (league 1.04)

Guadalajara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontevedra 0 6.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.3% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.6% 5.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.7% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 21.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1