Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.36) 0.62 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.3% 22.9% 12.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
2 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Mérida AD
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Ferrol 0 9.6% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.6% 10.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 8.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.2% 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRacing FerrolMérida AD
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack28%44%
Defense67%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Racing Ferrol Mérida AD
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins57%50%54%71%17%46%
Draws29%0%15%14%17%15%
Loses14%50%31%14%67%38%

Form: Racing Ferrol: WWWLDDWWLLWWL • Mérida AD: WLLLLWLWDWWDW

League goals

Metric Racing Ferrol Mérida AD
HATHAT
GF total981714418
GF avg1.31.31.32.00.71.4
GA total671361117
GA avg0.91.21.00.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRacing FerrolMérida AD
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%69%69%62%
1.538%31%46%38%
2.58%0%23%23%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRacing FerrolMérida AD
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score202134

Penalties

MetricRacing FerrolMérida AD
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRacing FerrolMérida AD
Wins32
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-12-43-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricRacing FerrolMérida AD
Form35%65%
Att38%62%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mérida AD

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Betfair
Draw3.26 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Racing Ferrol = 1.72 (league 1.36), Mérida AD = 0.62 (league 1.02)

Mérida AD
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Ferrol 0 9.6% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.6% 10.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 8.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.2% 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.3% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 12.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1