Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Anxo Carro
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.38) 0.93 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.5% 35.9% 42.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.5%
0 - 1
20.8%
1 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Tenerife
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 22.5% 20.8% 9.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.7% 11.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugoTenerife
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack42%92%
Defense50%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugo Tenerife
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins67%0%29%71%71%71%
Draws33%50%43%0%14%7%
Loses0%50%29%29%14%21%

Form: Lugo: LDLWLWDWDDDDWL • Tenerife: WWWWWWDLLWLWWW

League goals

Metric Lugo Tenerife
HATHAT
GF total8311141327
GF avg1.30.40.82.01.91.9
GA total3811448
GA avg0.51.00.80.60.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugoTenerife
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%71%43%
1.521%21%64%14%
2.50%0%43%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugoTenerife
HATHAT
Clean sheets426448
Failed to score156224

Penalties

MetricLugoTenerife
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLugoTenerife
Wins16
Draws41
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-01-4
Biggest losses—2-00-22-0
Goals For2144
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricLugoTenerife
Form33%67%
Att31%69%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total37.8%62.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tenerife

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.68 @ 188Bet
No1.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lugo = 0.57 (league 1.38), Tenerife = 0.93 (league 1.03)

Tenerife
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 22.5% 20.8% 9.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.7% 11.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.5% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 42.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1