Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio El Prado
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.38) 0.61 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.8% 34.8% 22.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.8%
1 - 0
20.1%
0 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Mérida AD
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Talavera 0 20.8% 12.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 12.2% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.7% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCF TalaveraMérida AD
Played55
Form0%73%
Attack31%85%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CF Talavera Mérida AD
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%13%20%75%14%47%
Draws29%13%20%13%29%20%
Loses43%75%60%13%57%33%

Form: CF Talavera: LDWDWLLDWLLLLLL • Mérida AD: WLLLLWLWDWWDWDW

League goals

Metric CF Talavera Mérida AD
HATHAT
GF total591417623
GF avg0.71.10.92.10.91.5
GA total5141981321
GA avg0.71.81.31.01.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCF TalaveraMérida AD
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%87%73%67%
1.520%27%53%47%
2.57%7%27%20%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCF TalaveraMérida AD
HATHAT
Clean sheets202415
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricCF TalaveraMérida AD
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCF TalaveraMérida AD
Wins12
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-14-32-43-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against1443

Model comparison

MetricCF TalaveraMérida AD
Form0%100%
Att27%73%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mérida AD

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Betano
Away2.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CF Talavera = 0.96 (league 1.38), Mérida AD = 0.61 (league 1.04)

Mérida AD
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Talavera 0 20.8% 12.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 12.2% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.7% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.8% · Draw 34.8% · Away win 22.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1