Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:15 • Estadio Anxo Carro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.38) 0.54 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.4% 34.4% 19.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.5%
0 - 0
21.1%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ourense CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 21.1% 11.4% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.5% 11.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.9% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

šŸ”®

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugoOurense CF
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack33%100%
Defense58%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugo Ourense CF
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins57%0%25%38%13%25%
Draws43%56%50%25%63%44%
Loses0%44%25%38%25%31%

Form: Lugo: LDLWLWDWDDDDWLDD • Ourense CF: DDLLLDDLDWDWWWLD

League goals

Metric Lugo Ourense CF
HATHAT
GF total1031313619
GF avg1.40.30.81.60.81.2
GA total581312820
GA avg0.70.90.81.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugoOurense CF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%69%56%
1.525%25%31%44%
2.50%0%13%25%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugoOurense CF
HATHAT
Clean sheets437347
Failed to score167145

Penalties

MetricLugoOurense CF
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricLugoOurense CF
Wins13
Draws42
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-00-2
Biggest losses—2-01-33-0
Goals For2142
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricLugoOurense CF
Form38%63%
Att24%76%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h33%67%
Goals50%50%
Total45.7%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ourense CF

šŸ’ø

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Betano
Draw2.98 @ 188Bet
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.40 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
šŸ“Š

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (Ī»): Lugo = 1.02 (league 1.38), Ourense CF = 0.54 (league 1.04)

Ourense CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 21.1% 11.4% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.5% 11.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.9% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% Ā· Draw 34.4% Ā· Away win 19.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1