Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 20:15 • Estadio Romano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.89 (league 1.38) 1.25 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.8% 15.1% 13.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Club II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mérida AD 0 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.6% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.6% 8.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.4% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.6% 5.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMérida ADAthletic Club II
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack75%75%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mérida AD Athletic Club II
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins75%13%44%50%25%38%
Draws13%25%19%25%25%25%
Loses13%63%38%25%50%38%

Form: Mérida AD: WLLLLWLWDWWDWDWL • Athletic Club II: DDWWLDLLLDWWWWLL

League goals

Metric Mérida AD Athletic Club II
HATHAT
GF total1772481018
GF avg2.10.91.51.01.31.1
GA total8152361521
GA avg1.01.91.40.81.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMérida ADAthletic Club II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%69%81%56%
1.550%50%25%44%
2.525%19%6%25%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMérida ADAthletic Club II
HATHAT
Clean sheets415527
Failed to score134213

Penalties

MetricMérida ADAthletic Club II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMérida ADAthletic Club II
Wins24
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-02-3
Biggest losses2-43-01-34-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricMérida ADAthletic Club II
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Mérida AD or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.23 @ Pinnacle
Away3.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mérida AD = 2.89 (league 1.38), Athletic Club II = 1.25 (league 1.04)

Athletic Club II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mérida AD 0 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.6% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.6% 8.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.4% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.6% 5.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.8% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 13.5%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1