Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:30 • Lezama Facilities
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.38) 0.63 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 40.4% 28.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.9%
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 1
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club II 0 27.9% 17.4% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 11.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic Club IIPonferradina
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack67%27%
Defense40%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Club II Ponferradina
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins50%33%41%25%22%24%
Draws25%22%24%13%44%29%
Loses25%44%35%63%33%47%

Form: Athletic Club II: DDWWLDLLLDWWWWLLW • Ponferradina: WLLLDLWWDWDDLLDLL

League goals

Metric Athletic Club II Ponferradina
HATHAT
GF total8132110717
GF avg1.01.41.21.30.81.0
GA total6172313821
GA avg0.81.91.41.60.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic Club IIPonferradina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%59%65%59%
1.529%47%29%47%
2.512%24%6%18%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic Club IIPonferradina
HATHAT
Clean sheets527257
Failed to score213156

Penalties

MetricAthletic Club IIPonferradina
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAthletic Club IIPonferradina
Wins42
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-32-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-11-32-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricAthletic Club IIPonferradina
Form90%10%
Att71%29%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Athletic Club II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club II = 0.65 (league 1.38), Ponferradina = 0.63 (league 1.02)

Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club II 0 27.9% 17.4% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 11.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 40.4% · Away win 28.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1