Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio El Prado
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.38)
0.62 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.5% | 35.6% | 23.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.5%
1 - 0
19.6%
0 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CF Talavera | 0 | 21.5% | 13.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CF Talavera | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 33% | 47% |
| Defense | 60% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CF Talavera | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 22% | 29% | 22% | 25% | 24% |
| Draws | 25% | 11% | 18% | 22% | 38% | 29% |
| Loses | 38% | 67% | 53% | 56% | 38% | 47% |
Form: CF Talavera: LDWDWLLDWLLLLLLWW • Guadalajara: LWWWDLDDLLDLLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | CF Talavera | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 15 | 21 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CF Talavera | Guadalajara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 88% | 65% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 24% | 29% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 12% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CF Talavera | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | CF Talavera | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | CF Talavera | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CF Talavera | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.5% |
Advice: Double chance : CF Talavera or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): CF Talavera = 0.91 (league 1.38), Guadalajara = 0.62 (league 1.03)
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CF Talavera | 0 | 21.5% | 13.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 23.8%
vtt 2 , vtd1