Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.38) 0.70 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.3% 19.3% 11.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 0
13.0%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mérida AD
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 6.3% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.0% 9.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 6.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugoMérida AD
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack36%71%
Defense64%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugo Mérida AD
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins63%0%29%67%13%41%
Draws38%56%47%11%25%18%
Loses0%44%24%22%63%41%

Form: Lugo: LDLWLWDWDDDDWLDDW • Mérida AD: WLLLLWLWDWWDWDWLL

League goals

Metric Lugo Mérida AD
HATHAT
GF total1231519726
GF avg1.50.30.92.10.91.5
GA total6814111526
GA avg0.80.90.81.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugoMérida AD
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%59%76%71%
1.529%24%53%53%
2.50%0%24%24%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugoMérida AD
HATHAT
Clean sheets437415
Failed to score167134

Penalties

MetricLugoMérida AD
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLugoMérida AD
Wins12
Draws41
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-00-2
Biggest losses2-02-43-0
Goals For2132
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricLugoMérida AD
Form53%47%
Att33%67%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lugo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 10Bet
Away3.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.60 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Unibet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lugo = 2.07 (league 1.38), Mérida AD = 0.70 (league 1.03)

Mérida AD
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 6.3% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.0% 9.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 6.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 11.5%

vtt 2 , vtd1