Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Anxo Carro
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.37)
0.69 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8% | 19.0% | 11.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.5%
1 - 0
13.0%
3 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Mérida AD | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lugo | 0 | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lugo | Mérida AD |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 36% | 71% |
| Defense | 64% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lugo | Mérida AD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 63% | 0% | 29% | 67% | 13% | 41% |
| Draws | 38% | 56% | 47% | 11% | 25% | 18% |
| Loses | 0% | 44% | 24% | 22% | 63% | 41% |
LugoLDLWLWDWDDDDWLDDW
Mérida ADWLLLLWLWDWWDWDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Lugo | Mérida AD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lugo | Mérida AD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 59% | 76% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 24% | 53% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 24% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lugo | Mérida AD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lugo | Mérida AD |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lugo | Mérida AD |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lugo | Mérida AD |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 10Bet
Away3.55 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.60 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.07 @ Unibet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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