Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.38) 0.86 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.2% 23.5% 18.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Arenteiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid II 0 7.5% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.0% 11.1% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.2% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal Madrid IIArenteiro
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack47%40%
Defense47%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid II Arenteiro
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins78%25%53%33%25%29%
Draws0%13%6%44%0%24%
Loses22%63%41%22%75%47%

Form: Real Madrid II: WLLLLWWWWWLWLWDWL • Arenteiro: LWWDLDDLDLLLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Real Madrid II Arenteiro
HATHAT
GF total148225914
GF avg1.61.01.30.61.10.8
GA total7142151217
GA avg0.81.81.20.61.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal Madrid IIArenteiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%76%59%59%
1.547%29%18%35%
2.518%18%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal Madrid IIArenteiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets404617
Failed to score156527

Penalties

MetricReal Madrid IIArenteiro
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricReal Madrid IIArenteiro
Wins52
Draws12
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-01-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-23-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricReal Madrid IIArenteiro
Form44%56%
Att54%46%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Real Madrid II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ SBO
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away5.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid II = 1.73 (league 1.38), Arenteiro = 0.86 (league 1.02)

Arenteiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid II 0 7.5% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.0% 11.1% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.2% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 18.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1