Sat, Jan 10 2026 • 15:15 •
Estadio de Espiñedo
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.37)
0.17 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.4% | 60.6% | 11.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
56.7%
1 - 0
22.4%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Lugo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arenteiro | 0 | 56.7% | 9.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.4% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arenteiro | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 86% | 71% |
| Defense | 43% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
43%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arenteiro | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 22% | 28% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 44% | 0% | 22% | 33% | 56% | 44% |
| Loses | 22% | 78% | 50% | 0% | 44% | 22% |
ArenteiroLWWDLDDLDLLLLLWWWL
LugoLDLWLWDWDDDDWLDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Arenteiro | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 14 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arenteiro | Lugo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 61% | 61% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 39% | 28% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arenteiro | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arenteiro | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arenteiro | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arenteiro | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Betano
Away3.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.63 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Bet365
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League standings
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