Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.38) 0.88 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.7% 23.6% 18.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Barakaldo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta de Vigo II 0 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.2% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelta de Vigo IIBarakaldo
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack90%90%
Defense40%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celta de Vigo II Barakaldo
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins67%56%61%50%0%28%
Draws11%22%17%30%63%44%
Loses22%22%22%20%38%28%

Form: Celta de Vigo II: DLWWWWDLWDWLWWLWWW • Barakaldo: LDWDDDWDWDDLWLLDLW

League goals

Metric Celta de Vigo II Barakaldo
HATHAT
GF total14142816824
GF avg1.61.61.61.61.01.3
GA total8132181220
GA avg0.91.41.20.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelta de Vigo IIBarakaldo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%67%78%83%
1.556%33%39%28%
2.517%11%6%0%
3.511%6%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelta de Vigo IIBarakaldo
HATHAT
Clean sheets426303
Failed to score235224

Penalties

MetricCelta de Vigo IIBarakaldo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCelta de Vigo IIBarakaldo
Wins41
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-45-0—
Biggest losses1-24-01-22-0
Goals For4452
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricCelta de Vigo IIBarakaldo
Form75%25%
Att50%50%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Celta de Vigo II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Betfair
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.60 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.77 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Unibet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Celta de Vigo II = 1.73 (league 1.38), Barakaldo = 0.88 (league 1.02)

Barakaldo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta de Vigo II 0 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.2% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.7% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 18.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1