Sun, Jan 18 2026 ā¢ 17:15 ā¢
Campo de Lasesarre
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.38)
0.55 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.2% | 24.0% | 12.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.6%
2 - 0
15.1%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barakaldo | 0 | 11.4% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barakaldo | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 63% |
| Defense | 25% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barakaldo | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 50% | 11% | 32% | 20% | 22% | 21% |
| Draws | 30% | 56% | 42% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
| Loses | 20% | 33% | 26% | 50% | 44% | 47% |
Form: Barakaldo: LDWDDDWDWDDLWLLDLWW ā¢ Guadalajara: LWWWDLDDLLDLLDWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Barakaldo | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 10 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 17 | 13 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barakaldo | Guadalajara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 84% | 63% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 26% | 26% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 0% | 11% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barakaldo | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barakaldo | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barakaldo | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barakaldo | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 61.3% | 38.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Barakaldo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Barakaldo = 1.62 (league 1.38), Guadalajara = 0.55 (league 1.03)
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barakaldo | 0 | 11.4% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% Ā· Draw 24.0% Ā· Away win 12.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1