Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio El ToralÃn
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.36)
1.61 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.9% | 24.7% | 47.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Racing Ferrol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ponferradina | 0 | 6.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ponferradina | Racing Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 63% | 63% |
| Defense | 0% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ponferradina | Racing Ferrol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 26% | 50% | 44% | 47% |
| Draws | 11% | 40% | 26% | 30% | 0% | 16% |
| Loses | 56% | 40% | 47% | 20% | 56% | 37% |
PonferradinaWLLLDLWWDWDDLLDLLLW
Racing FerrolWWWLDDWWLLWWLDWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Ponferradina | Racing Ferrol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 13 | 9 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ponferradina | Racing Ferrol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 58% | 84% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 42% | 37% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 16% | 5% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ponferradina | Racing Ferrol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ponferradina | Racing Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ponferradina | Racing Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ponferradina | Racing Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.70 @ Betfair
Draw3.04 @ Pinnacle
Away2.81 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.65 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.26 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…