Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 20:15 •
Estadio Romano Jose Fouto
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.38)
1.07 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.0% | 31.2% | 39.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Pontevedra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mérida AD | 0 | 14.4% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mérida AD | Pontevedra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 38% | 69% |
| Defense | 46% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mérida AD | Pontevedra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 70% | 10% | 40% | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Draws | 10% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 20% | 35% |
| Loses | 20% | 60% | 40% | 10% | 30% | 20% |
Form: Mérida AD: WLLLLWLWDWWDWDWLLLWD • Pontevedra: DWLLWWLDDWDDLDWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Mérida AD | Pontevedra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 8 | 28 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 17 | 28 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mérida AD | Pontevedra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 70% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 45% | 40% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mérida AD | Pontevedra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mérida AD | Pontevedra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mérida AD | Pontevedra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mérida AD | Pontevedra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 49.2% | 51.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Pontevedra
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mérida AD = 0.87 (league 1.38), Pontevedra = 1.07 (league 1.03)
| Pontevedra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mérida AD | 0 | 14.4% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 39.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1
