Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio Anxo Carro
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.36)
0.58 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.3% | 24.2% | 12.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
14.6%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lugo | 0 | 11.1% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.6% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lugo | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 35% | 18% |
| Defense | 59% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lugo | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 55% | 17% | 35% | 25% | 18% | 22% |
| Draws | 27% | 50% | 39% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Loses | 18% | 33% | 26% | 50% | 55% | 52% |
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GuadalajaraLWWWDLDDLLDLLDWLLLDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Lugo | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 8 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lugo | Guadalajara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 61% | 61% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 26% | 22% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 4% | 9% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lugo | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lugo | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lugo | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lugo | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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