Fri, Feb 20 2026 • 20:15 •
Estadio El ToralÃn
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.36)
1.26 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.9% | 22.0% | 24.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| CF Talavera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ponferradina | 0 | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ponferradina | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 27% |
| Attack | 41% | 29% |
| Defense | 100% | 24% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ponferradina | CF Talavera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 36% | 38% | 38% | 42% | 17% | 29% |
| Draws | 18% | 31% | 25% | 25% | 8% | 17% |
| Loses | 45% | 31% | 38% | 33% | 75% | 54% |
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CF TalaveraLDWDWLLDWLLLLLLWWWLDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Ponferradina | CF Talavera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 11 | 26 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 9 | 22 | 12 | 23 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ponferradina | CF Talavera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 46% | 71% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 29% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 13% | 4% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ponferradina | CF Talavera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ponferradina | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ponferradina | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ponferradina | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 76% | 24% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 64.7% | 35.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.76 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away5.29 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.63 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Unibet
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League standings
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