Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.36)
1.03 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.7% | 18.0% | 14.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
2 - 0
9.3%
1 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Mérida AD | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celta de Vigo II | 0 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Celta de Vigo II | Mérida AD |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 64% |
| Defense | 45% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Celta de Vigo II | Mérida AD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 62% | 50% | 56% | 69% | 17% | 44% |
| Draws | 15% | 33% | 24% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Loses | 23% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 58% | 36% |
Celta de Vigo IIDLWWWWDLWDWLWWLWWWLDDWDWW
Mérida ADWLLLLWLWDWWDWDWLLLWDDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Celta de Vigo II | Mérida AD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 17 | 41 | 24 | 11 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 12 | 21 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Celta de Vigo II | Mérida AD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 68% | 80% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 36% | 44% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 12% | 16% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Celta de Vigo II | Mérida AD | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Celta de Vigo II | Mérida AD |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Celta de Vigo II | Mérida AD |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Celta de Vigo II | Mérida AD |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 60.2% | 39.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.03 @ 188Bet
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away3.84 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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