Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 13:00 • Estadio El Prado
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.36) 0.96 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 31.7% 34.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.7%
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Racing Ferrol
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Talavera 0 14.7% 14.2% 6.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.5% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCF TalaveraRacing Ferrol
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack50%63%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CF Talavera Racing Ferrol
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins42%15%28%46%42%44%
Draws25%8%16%31%0%16%
Loses33%77%56%23%58%40%

Form: CF Talavera: LDWDWLLDWLLLLLLWWWLDLLLWL • Racing Ferrol: WWWLDDWWLLWWLDWWLLLLWLDWL

League goals

Metric CF Talavera Racing Ferrol
HATHAT
GF total121325171229
GF avg1.01.01.01.31.01.2
GA total122436131528
GA avg1.01.81.41.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCF TalaveraRacing Ferrol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%88%80%72%
1.528%28%32%36%
2.54%12%4%4%
3.50%12%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCF TalaveraRacing Ferrol
HATHAT
Clean sheets303347
Failed to score448325

Penalties

MetricCF TalaveraRacing Ferrol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCF TalaveraRacing Ferrol
Wins33
Draws12
Losses64

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-10-2
Biggest losses0-45-10-23-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricCF TalaveraRacing Ferrol
Form30%70%
Att44%56%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%100%
Goals22%78%
Total33.6%66.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Racing Ferrol

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Betfair
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): CF Talavera = 0.95 (league 1.36), Racing Ferrol = 0.96 (league 1.04)

Racing Ferrol
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Talavera 0 14.7% 14.2% 6.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.5% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 34.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1