Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.38) 0.62 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.8% 38.5% 26.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.1%
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 1
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid II 0 25.1% 15.6% 4.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.1% 11.9% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal Madrid IIPonferradina
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack43%36%
Defense50%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.40 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid II Ponferradina
HATHAT
Played131225121325
Wins69%17%44%42%38%40%
Draws15%25%20%17%31%24%
Loses15%58%36%42%31%36%

Form: Real Madrid II: WLLLLWWWWWLWLWDWLWLDLDDWD • Ponferradina: WLLLDLWWDWDDLLDLLLWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Real Madrid II Ponferradina
HATHAT
GF total201232161127
GF avg1.51.01.31.30.81.1
GA total10233313922
GA avg0.81.91.31.10.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal Madrid IIPonferradina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%76%68%44%
1.544%28%32%32%
2.512%20%8%12%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal Madrid IIPonferradina
HATHAT
Clean sheets5166814
Failed to score167268

Penalties

MetricReal Madrid IIPonferradina
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricReal Madrid IIPonferradina
Wins54
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-11-32-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricReal Madrid IIPonferradina
Form32%68%
Att55%45%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Real Madrid II or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away3.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid II = 0.76 (league 1.38), Ponferradina = 0.62 (league 1.03)

Ponferradina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid II 0 25.1% 15.6% 4.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.1% 11.9% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 38.5% · Away win 26.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1