Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 17:30 • Campo de Lasesarre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.36) 0.47 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.5% 27.1% 12.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.6%
2 - 0
15.3%
0 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ourense CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barakaldo 0 15.3% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.6% 10.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarakaldoOurense CF
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack86%86%
Defense29%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barakaldo Ourense CF
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins62%8%35%54%8%31%
Draws23%54%38%15%38%27%
Loses15%38%27%31%54%42%

Form: Barakaldo: LDWDDDWDWDDLWLLDLWWWLDWDWL • Ourense CF: DDLLLDDLDWDWWWLDLWLWLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Barakaldo Ourense CF
HATHAT
GF total21133422830
GF avg1.61.01.31.70.61.2
GA total101929151631
GA avg0.81.51.11.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarakaldoOurense CF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%81%65%65%
1.542%31%35%38%
2.54%0%12%15%
3.54%0%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarakaldoOurense CF
HATHAT
Clean sheets415549
Failed to score246279

Penalties

MetricBarakaldoOurense CF
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBarakaldoOurense CF
Wins33
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-01-33-0
Goals For5242
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricBarakaldoOurense CF
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Barakaldo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ SBO
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barakaldo = 1.42 (league 1.36), Ourense CF = 0.47 (league 1.03)

Ourense CF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barakaldo 0 15.3% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.6% 10.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.5% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 12.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1