Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Romano Jose Fouto
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.37)
0.87 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5% | 17.2% | 11.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| CF Talavera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mérida AD | 0 | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mérida AD | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 70% | 60% |
| Defense | 50% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mérida AD | CF Talavera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 69% | 15% | 42% | 46% | 15% | 31% |
| Draws | 15% | 31% | 23% | 23% | 8% | 15% |
| Loses | 15% | 54% | 35% | 31% | 77% | 54% |
Mérida ADWLLLLWLWDWWDWDWLLLWDDWWLWD
CF TalaveraLDWDWLLDWLLLLLLWWWLDLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Mérida AD | CF Talavera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 12 | 36 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 22 | 34 | 13 | 24 | 37 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mérida AD | CF Talavera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 69% | 69% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 38% | 31% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 19% | 8% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mérida AD | CF Talavera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mérida AD | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mérida AD | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mérida AD | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 55.5% | 44.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away4.50 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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