Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:15 •
Estadio Heliodoro RodrÃguez Lopéz
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.37)
0.47 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.3% | 30.4% | 14.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.5%
0 - 0
18.3%
2 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Lugo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tenerife | 0 | 18.3% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.5% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 88% | 63% |
| Defense | 63% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 69% | 69% | 69% | 62% | 15% | 38% |
| Draws | 8% | 23% | 15% | 23% | 54% | 38% |
| Loses | 23% | 8% | 15% | 15% | 31% | 23% |
TenerifeWWWWWWDLLWLWWWDWWWWWWWDLWD
LugoLDLWLWDWDDDDWLDDWWWLWLDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 20 | 47 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tenerife | Lugo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 38% | 69% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 19% | 31% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.57 @ Betfair
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.64 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…