Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio El Prado
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.36) 1.93 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.6% 21.3% 39.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.2%
1 - 2
7.9%
2 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Real Avilés
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Talavera 0 2.3% 4.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.2% 8.2% 7.9% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.4% 4.6% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCF TalaveraReal Avilés
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack43%57%
Defense64%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 115 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CF Talavera Real Avilés
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%14%30%29%38%33%
Draws23%14%19%21%15%19%
Loses31%71%52%50%46%48%

Form: CF Talavera: LDWDWLLDWLLLLLLWWWLDLLLWLWD • Real Avilés: LDWLWWWDLWWDLLWLWLLWLLLLDDL

League goals

Metric CF Talavera Real Avilés
HATHAT
GF total151328132639
GF avg1.20.91.00.92.01.4
GA total132437202747
GA avg1.01.71.41.42.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCF TalaveraReal Avilés
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%85%74%78%
1.530%26%44%59%
2.57%11%19%22%
3.50%11%7%7%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCF TalaveraReal Avilés
HATHAT
Clean sheets314336
Failed to score459527

Penalties

MetricCF TalaveraReal Avilés
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCF TalaveraReal Avilés
Wins33
Draws12
Losses64

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-00-4
Biggest losses0-45-10-36-3
Goals For3334
Goals Against4536

Model comparison

MetricCF TalaveraReal Avilés
Form78%22%
Att43%57%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : CF Talavera or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ 188Bet
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CF Talavera = 1.85 (league 1.36), Real Avilés = 1.93 (league 1.04)

Real Avilés
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Talavera 0 2.3% 4.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.2% 8.2% 7.9% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.4% 4.6% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 39.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1