Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 17:30 • Estadio Anxo Carro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.36) 0.85 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.1% 22.7% 17.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 7.0% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 10.8% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugoReal Madrid II
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack43%36%
Defense79%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugo Real Madrid II
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins62%14%37%64%15%41%
Draws23%57%41%14%31%22%
Loses15%29%22%21%54%37%

Form: Lugo: LDLWLWDWDDDDWLDDWWWLWLDWDWD • Real Madrid II: WLLLLWWWWWLWLWDWLWLDLDDWDLD

League goals

Metric Lugo Real Madrid II
HATHAT
GF total171027201434
GF avg1.30.71.01.41.11.3
GA total111223112536
GA avg0.80.90.90.81.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugoReal Madrid II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%59%70%78%
1.530%22%44%30%
2.50%4%11%19%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugoReal Madrid II
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411516
Failed to score268268

Penalties

MetricLugoReal Madrid II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricLugoReal Madrid II
Wins35
Draws42
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-11-3
Biggest losses1-32-01-34-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricLugoReal Madrid II
Form60%40%
Att55%45%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total55.6%44.6%

Advice: Double chance : Lugo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ William Hill
Draw3.40 @ Pinnacle
Away5.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.36 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Lugo = 1.81 (league 1.36), Real Madrid II = 0.85 (league 1.04)

Real Madrid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 7.0% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 10.8% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.1% Ā· Draw 22.7% Ā· Away win 17.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1