Sun, Mar 22 2026 ā¢ 17:15 ā¢
Estadio Municipal da Malata
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.36)
1.06 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.4% | 26.4% | 27.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
11.8%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Barakaldo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Racing Ferrol | 0 | 8.2% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 70% | 80% |
| Defense | 30% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Barakaldo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 50% | 36% | 43% | 64% | 14% | 39% |
| Draws | 29% | 7% | 18% | 21% | 50% | 36% |
| Loses | 21% | 57% | 39% | 14% | 36% | 25% |
Form: Racing Ferrol: WWWLDDWWLLWWLDWWLLLLWLDWLLWD ā¢ Barakaldo: LDWDDDWDWDDLWLLDLWWWLDWDWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Barakaldo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 14 | 34 | 22 | 16 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 14 | 19 | 33 | 10 | 19 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Racing Ferrol | Barakaldo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 75% | 79% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 36% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Barakaldo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.7% | 53.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Barakaldo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Racing Ferrol = 1.44 (league 1.36), Barakaldo = 1.06 (league 1.04)
| Barakaldo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Racing Ferrol | 0 | 8.2% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% Ā· Draw 26.4% Ā· Away win 27.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1