Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.37) 0.88 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.8% 37.3% 41.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.6%
0 - 1
21.6%
1 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lugo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cacereño 0 24.6% 21.6% 9.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 11.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCacereñoLugo
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack36%29%
Defense43%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cacereño Lugo
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins21%20%21%53%14%34%
Draws36%47%41%27%57%41%
Loses43%33%38%20%29%24%

Form: Cacereño: DDLWDLDWDLLLLWLLDLDWWDDWLDLDD • Lugo: LDLWLWDWDDDDWLDDWWWLWLDWDWDLD

League goals

Metric Cacereño Lugo
HATHAT
GF total111627181028
GF avg0.81.10.91.20.71.0
GA total182038161228
GA avg1.31.31.31.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCacereñoLugo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%72%69%62%
1.528%41%28%24%
2.57%14%0%7%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCacereñoLugo
HATHAT
Clean sheets6287411
Failed to score8412369

Penalties

MetricCacereñoLugo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricCacereñoLugo
Wins23
Draws24
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-43-10-42-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against4342

Model comparison

MetricCacereñoLugo
Form33%67%
Att56%44%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lugo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cacereño = 0.53 (league 1.37), Lugo = 0.88 (league 1.04)

Lugo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cacereño 0 24.6% 21.6% 9.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 11.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.8% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 41.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1