Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 •
Estadio Pedro EscartÃn
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.38)
1.25 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.0% | 26.6% | 35.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
10.1%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Racing Ferrol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guadalajara | 0 | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guadalajara | Racing Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 92% | 46% |
| Defense | 46% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guadalajara | Racing Ferrol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 27% | 47% | 33% | 40% |
| Draws | 27% | 27% | 27% | 33% | 7% | 20% |
| Loses | 40% | 53% | 47% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
Form: Guadalajara: LWWWDLDDLLDLLDWLLLDLLLWLWDWWDL • Racing Ferrol: WWWLDDWWLLWWLDWWLLLLWLDWLLWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Guadalajara | Racing Ferrol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 15 | 34 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 19 | 27 | 46 | 14 | 21 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guadalajara | Racing Ferrol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 73% | 80% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 43% | 30% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 27% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guadalajara | Racing Ferrol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guadalajara | Racing Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guadalajara | Racing Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guadalajara | Racing Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Guadalajara or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara = 1.32 (league 1.38), Racing Ferrol = 1.25 (league 1.04)
| Racing Ferrol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guadalajara | 0 | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 35.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1