Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 14:15 •
Tajonar Facilities Stadium
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.38)
2.38 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5% | 19.3% | 53.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
7.3%
1 - 3
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Avilés | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Osasuna II | 0 | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Osasuna II | Real Avilés |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 35% | 35% |
| Defense | 71% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Osasuna II | Real Avilés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 20% | 25% | 23% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
| Draws | 40% | 19% | 29% | 25% | 20% | 23% |
| Loses | 40% | 56% | 48% | 44% | 47% | 45% |
Form: Osasuna II: WDLWDDLDLDLWWLLDLLLLLDDLLDWLLWW • Real Avilés: LDWLWWWDLWWDLLWLWLLWLLLLDDLDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Osasuna II | Real Avilés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 8 | 23 | 16 | 29 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 20 | 17 | 37 | 22 | 31 | 53 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Osasuna II | Real Avilés | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 48% | 71% | 77% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 39% | 45% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 10% | 16% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Osasuna II | Real Avilés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Osasuna II | Real Avilés |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Osasuna II | Real Avilés |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 6-3 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Osasuna II | Real Avilés |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Avilés
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Osasuna II = 1.52 (league 1.38), Real Avilés = 2.38 (league 1.04)
| Real Avilés | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Osasuna II | 0 | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 53.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1