Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio Anxo Carro
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.37)
1.06 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.6% | 27.8% | 30.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| CF Talavera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lugo | 0 | 9.6% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lugo | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 40% |
| Defense | 0% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lugo | CF Talavera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 50% | 19% | 34% | 38% | 19% | 28% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 38% | 31% | 19% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 31% | 28% | 31% | 63% | 47% |
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CF TalaveraLDWDWLLDWLLLLLLWWWLDLLLWLWDDDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Lugo | CF Talavera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 17 | 17 | 34 | 15 | 26 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lugo | CF Talavera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 66% | 66% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 25% | 28% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 6% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lugo | CF Talavera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lugo | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lugo | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-2 | 0-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lugo | CF Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.29 @ 1xBet
Draw3.17 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ William Hill
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League standings
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