Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:30 •
Campo de Lasesarre
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.37)
0.69 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.6% | 29.1% | 20.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Lugo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barakaldo | 0 | 13.8% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barakaldo | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 43% | 71% |
| Defense | 29% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barakaldo | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 63% | 12% | 36% | 47% | 19% | 33% |
| Draws | 25% | 47% | 36% | 29% | 50% | 39% |
| Loses | 13% | 41% | 27% | 24% | 31% | 27% |
BarakaldoLDWDDDWDWDDLWLLDLWWWLDWDWLWWDWLDL
LugoLDLWLWDWDDDDWLDDWWWLWLDWDWDLDWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Barakaldo | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 16 | 41 | 18 | 14 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 22 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barakaldo | Lugo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 76% | 67% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 27% | 30% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barakaldo | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barakaldo | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barakaldo | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barakaldo | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.05 @ BetVictor
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away3.93 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.59 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings
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