Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio O Couto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.47) 0.96 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.8% 37.0% 50.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.3%
0 - 1
26.2%
0 - 2
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Marino de Luanco
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Ourense 0 27.3% 26.2% 12.5% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2%
1 9.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUD OurenseMarino de Luanco
Played22
Form17%50%
Attack9%18%
Defense82%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 11 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UD Ourense Marino de Luanco
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%100%0%50%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%50%0%100%50%

Form: UD Ourense: LD • Marino de Luanco: LW

League goals

Metric UD Ourense Marino de Luanco
HATHAT
GF total011202
GF avg0.01.00.52.00.01.0
GA total112011
GA avg1.01.01.00.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUD OurenseMarino de Luanco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%50%50%
1.50%0%50%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUD OurenseMarino de Luanco
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricUD OurenseMarino de Luanco
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUD OurenseMarino de Luanco
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0
Biggest losses0-11-0
Goals For0120
Goals Against1101

Model comparison

MetricUD OurenseMarino de Luanco
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total30.3%69.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Marino de Luanco and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Bet365
Draw3.17 @ Pinnacle
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.77 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UD Ourense = 0.34 (league 1.47), Marino de Luanco = 0.96 (league 1.04)

Marino de Luanco
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Ourense 0 27.3% 26.2% 12.5% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2%
1 9.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.8% · Draw 37.0% · Away win 50.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1