Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadi Municipal de Miramar
Expected Goals
2.72 (league 1.47)
0.29 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 82.2% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
18.3%
3 - 0
16.6%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Bergantiños | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marino de Luanco | 0 | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.3% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.6% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marino de Luanco | Bergantiños |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 44% |
| Attack | 23% | 46% |
| Defense | 92% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marino de Luanco | Bergantiños | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Marino de Luanco: LWW • Bergantiños: DLW
League goals
| Metric | Marino de Luanco | Bergantiños | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marino de Luanco | Bergantiños | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marino de Luanco | Bergantiños | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marino de Luanco | Bergantiños |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marino de Luanco | Bergantiños |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marino de Luanco | Bergantiños |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 51.6% | 48.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Marino de Luanco or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marino de Luanco = 2.72 (league 1.47), Bergantiños = 0.29 (league 1.04)
| Bergantiños | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marino de Luanco | 0 | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.3% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.6% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.2% · Draw 9.7% · Away win 2.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1