Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio El Helmántico
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.45) 1.26 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 26.1% 34.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.8%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
UD Ourense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salamanca UDS 0 7.2% 9.0% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.4% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalamanca UDSUD Ourense
Played33
Form44%11%
Attack31%6%
Defense75%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.71 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.33 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salamanca UDS UD Ourense
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%0%33%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%33%0%100%33%
Loses0%50%33%100%0%67%

Form: Salamanca UDS: DWL • UD Ourense: LDL

League goals

Metric Salamanca UDS UD Ourense
HATHAT
GF total235011
GF avg2.01.51.70.01.00.3
GA total044213
GA avg0.02.01.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalamanca UDSUD Ourense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%33%100%
1.567%67%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalamanca UDSUD Ourense
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricSalamanca UDSUD Ourense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSalamanca UDSUD Ourense
Wins10
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0———
Biggest losses—2-10-1—
Goals For2201
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricSalamanca UDSUD Ourense
Form80%20%
Att83%17%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total68.7%31.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Salamanca UDS or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away3.71 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salamanca UDS = 1.38 (league 1.45), UD Ourense = 1.26 (league 1.03)

UD Ourense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salamanca UDS 0 7.2% 9.0% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.4% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 34.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1