Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio As Eiroas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.46) 1.43 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 23.4% 31.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Real Valladolid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bergantiños 0 4.3% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.6% 7.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBergantiñosReal Valladolid II
Played44
Form42%33%
Attack50%36%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.85 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.57 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bergantiños Real Valladolid II
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%0%50%25%
Draws50%50%50%50%0%25%
Loses0%50%25%50%50%50%

Form: Bergantiños: DLWD • Real Valladolid II: WDLL

League goals

Metric Bergantiños Real Valladolid II
HATHAT
GF total527325
GF avg2.51.01.81.51.01.3
GA total336527
GA avg1.51.51.52.51.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBergantiñosReal Valladolid II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%75%
1.550%50%25%75%
2.525%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBergantiñosReal Valladolid II
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBergantiñosReal Valladolid II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBergantiñosReal Valladolid II
Wins11
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-1
Biggest losses2-11-32-1
Goals For3121
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricBergantiñosReal Valladolid II
Form56%44%
Att58%42%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Valladolid II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bergantiños = 1.71 (league 1.46), Real Valladolid II = 1.43 (league 1.05)

Real Valladolid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bergantiños 0 4.3% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.6% 7.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 31.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1