Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:15 • Estadio Las Callejas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.36) 0.73 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.4% 40.1% 35.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.7%
0 - 1
20.3%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Marino de Luanco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lealtad 0 27.7% 20.3% 7.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.3% 11.2% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLealtadMarino de Luanco
Played44
Form17%58%
Attack17%22%
Defense67%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.52 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lealtad Marino de Luanco
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%50%50%50%
Draws100%0%50%50%0%25%
Loses0%100%50%0%50%25%

Form: Lealtad: DLDL • Marino de Luanco: LWWD

League goals

Metric Lealtad Marino de Luanco
HATHAT
GF total303314
GF avg1.50.00.81.50.51.0
GA total336112
GA avg1.51.51.50.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLealtadMarino de Luanco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%75%50%
1.525%50%25%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLealtadMarino de Luanco
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricLealtadMarino de Luanco
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLealtadMarino de Luanco
Wins02
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-00-1
Biggest losses—2-0—1-0
Goals For2021
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricLealtadMarino de Luanco
Form22%78%
Att43%57%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total34.2%65.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Marino de Luanco and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.24 @ Marathonbet
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lealtad = 0.55 (league 1.36), Marino de Luanco = 0.73 (league 1.03)

Marino de Luanco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lealtad 0 27.7% 20.3% 7.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.3% 11.2% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.4% · Draw 40.1% · Away win 35.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1