Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal De Ribela
Expected Goals
2.72 (league 1.47)
1.24 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.7% | 16.3% | 15.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Numancia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarriana | 0 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sarriana | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 58% |
| Attack | 43% | 36% |
| Defense | 64% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sarriana | Numancia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Sarriana: LWLW • Numancia: DWLW
League goals
| Metric | Sarriana | Numancia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sarriana | Numancia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sarriana | Numancia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sarriana | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sarriana | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sarriana | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Sarriana or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sarriana = 2.72 (league 1.47), Numancia = 1.24 (league 1.04)
| Numancia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sarriana | 0 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.7% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 15.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1