Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio O Couto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.47) 2.39 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.1% 11.5% 82.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
21.3%
0 - 1
17.8%
0 - 3
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Real Ávila
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Ourense 0 7.4% 17.8% 21.3% 17.0% 10.2% 4.9%
1 1.5% 3.6% 4.3% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUD OurenseReal Ávila
Played44
Form8%100%
Attack7%57%
Defense71%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.38 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 13 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UD Ourense Real Ávila
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%100%100%100%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses100%50%75%0%0%0%

Form: UD Ourense: LDLL • Real Ávila: WWWW

League goals

Metric UD Ourense Real Ávila
HATHAT
GF total011358
GF avg0.00.50.31.52.52.0
GA total224123
GA avg1.01.01.00.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUD OurenseReal Ávila
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%100%100%75%
1.50%0%75%0%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUD OurenseReal Ávila
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricUD OurenseReal Ávila
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUD OurenseReal Ávila
Wins04
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-3
Biggest losses0-11-0
Goals For0123
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricUD OurenseReal Ávila
Form8%92%
Att11%89%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total20.7%79.3%

Advice: Winner : Real Ávila

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Betano
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): UD Ourense = 0.20 (league 1.47), Real Ávila = 2.39 (league 1.04)

Real Ávila
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Ourense 0 7.4% 17.8% 21.3% 17.0% 10.2% 4.9%
1 1.5% 3.6% 4.3% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.1% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 82.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1