Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio As Eiroas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.90 (league 1.38) 0.67 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 6.1% 2.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.2%
4 - 0
10.0%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Burgos Promesas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bergantiños 0 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.9% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.2% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.0% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBergantiñosBurgos Promesas
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack70%50%
Defense60%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bergantiños Burgos Promesas
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%33%0%17%
Draws33%33%33%67%33%50%
Loses0%33%17%0%67%33%

Form: Bergantiños: DLWDWW • Burgos Promesas: LDDDLW

League goals

Metric Bergantiños Burgos Promesas
HATHAT
GF total639325
GF avg2.01.01.51.00.70.8
GA total3362810
GA avg1.01.01.00.72.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBergantiñosBurgos Promesas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%67%
1.533%33%17%33%
2.517%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBergantiñosBurgos Promesas
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricBergantiñosBurgos Promesas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBergantiñosBurgos Promesas
Wins10
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-11-0
Biggest losses2-15-2
Goals For3112
Goals Against2215

Model comparison

MetricBergantiñosBurgos Promesas
Form63%38%
Att58%42%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total64.7%35.5%

Advice: Winner : Bergantiños

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away5.95 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bergantiños = 3.90 (league 1.38), Burgos Promesas = 0.67 (league 1.04)

Burgos Promesas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bergantiños 0 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.9% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.2% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.0% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 6.1% · Away win 2.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1