Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Municipal De Ribela
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.42) 0.98 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.4% 20.0% 16.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Coruxo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarriana 0 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.5% 9.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarrianaCoruxo
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack90%40%
Defense40%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarriana Coruxo
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins100%25%50%0%33%17%
Draws0%0%0%33%33%33%
Loses0%75%50%67%33%50%

Form: Sarriana: LWLWWL • Coruxo: DLWDLL

League goals

Metric Sarriana Coruxo
HATHAT
GF total6511235
GF avg3.01.31.80.71.00.8
GA total279538
GA avg1.01.81.51.71.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarrianaCoruxo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%50%83%
1.567%50%33%50%
2.517%17%0%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarrianaCoruxo
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricSarrianaCoruxo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSarrianaCoruxo
Wins21
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-2—0-2
Biggest losses—3-20-22-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricSarrianaCoruxo
Form69%31%
Att69%31%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Sarriana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Bet365
Draw3.00 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Marathonbet
No1.84 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarriana = 2.12 (league 1.42), Coruxo = 0.98 (league 1.02)

Coruxo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarriana 0 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.5% 9.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.4% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 16.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1