Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 •
Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.47)
0.20 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1% | 23.0% | 4.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
26.8%
2 - 0
20.9%
0 - 0
17.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Lealtad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burgos Promesas | 0 | 17.1% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.8% | 5.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.9% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Lealtad |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 13% |
| Attack | 43% | 21% |
| Defense | 29% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Lealtad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 67% | 25% | 43% | 75% | 0% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 43% | 25% | 100% | 57% |
Form: Burgos Promesas: LDDDLWL • Lealtad: DLDLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Lealtad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Burgos Promesas | Lealtad | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 43% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 43% | 14% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 43% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 29% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Lealtad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Lealtad |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Lealtad |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-2 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Burgos Promesas | Lealtad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 68.5% | 31.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Burgos Promesas or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Burgos Promesas = 1.56 (league 1.47), Lealtad = 0.20 (league 1.04)
| Lealtad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burgos Promesas | 0 | 17.1% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.8% | 5.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.9% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.1% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 4.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1