Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:00 • Estadi Municipal de Miramar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.46) 0.37 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.5% 19.7% 6.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
18.6%
3 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Numancia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marino de Luanco 0 10.8% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.1% 7.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarino de LuancoNumancia
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack36%50%
Defense86%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marino de Luanco Numancia
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%75%0%43%
Draws67%25%43%25%33%29%
Loses0%25%14%0%67%29%

Form: Marino de Luanco: LWWDWDD • Numancia: DWLWLDW

League goals

Metric Marino de Luanco Numancia
HATHAT
GF total3476410
GF avg1.01.01.01.51.31.4
GA total1232810
GA avg0.30.50.40.52.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarino de LuancoNumancia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%86%71%
1.529%0%43%29%
2.50%0%14%29%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarino de LuancoNumancia
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricMarino de LuancoNumancia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMarino de LuancoNumancia
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-1—
Biggest losses—1-0—4-2
Goals For2232
Goals Against1114

Model comparison

MetricMarino de LuancoNumancia
Form56%44%
Att42%58%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Marino de Luanco or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.20 @ Superbet
Away3.10 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.61 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Marino de Luanco = 1.85 (league 1.46), Numancia = 0.37 (league 1.05)

Numancia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marino de Luanco 0 10.8% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.1% 7.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.5% Ā· Draw 19.7% Ā· Away win 6.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1