Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:00 • Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.45) 0.39 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.8% 28.3% 10.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.8%
0 - 0
17.7%
2 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Real Valladolid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Numancia 0 17.7% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.8% 9.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNumanciaReal Valladolid II
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack50%56%
Defense63%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Numancia Real Valladolid II
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%50%25%38%
Draws25%25%25%25%0%13%
Loses0%50%25%25%75%50%

Form: Numancia: DWLWLDWW • Real Valladolid II: WDLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Numancia Real Valladolid II
HATHAT
GF total661210313
GF avg1.51.51.52.50.81.6
GA total29116511
GA avg0.52.31.41.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNumanciaReal Valladolid II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%88%75%
1.550%25%38%50%
2.513%25%25%13%
3.50%13%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNumanciaReal Valladolid II
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricNumanciaReal Valladolid II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNumanciaReal Valladolid II
Wins11
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-10-1
Biggest losses—4-21-32-1
Goals For3241
Goals Against1432

Model comparison

MetricNumanciaReal Valladolid II
Form63%38%
Att47%53%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total64.7%35.5%

Advice: Double chance : Numancia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away4.52 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Numancia = 1.34 (league 1.45), Real Valladolid II = 0.39 (league 1.03)

Real Valladolid II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Numancia 0 17.7% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.8% 9.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 10.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1