Expected Goals
0.28 (league 1.45) 1.94 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.4% 17.5% 76.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.2%
0 - 2
20.5%
0 - 3
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
UD Ourense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético Astorga 0 10.9% 21.2% 20.5% 13.3% 6.5% 2.5%
1 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
2 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlético AstorgaUD Ourense
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack33%67%
Defense11%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlético Astorga UD Ourense
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%40%22%40%25%33%
Draws25%0%11%20%50%33%
Loses75%60%67%40%25%33%

Form: Atlético Astorga: LLLWLLDLW • UD Ourense: LDLLDDWWW

League goals

Metric Atlético Astorga UD Ourense
HATHAT
GF total257437
GF avg0.51.00.80.80.80.8
GA total10616437
GA avg2.51.21.80.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlético AstorgaUD Ourense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%100%67%78%
1.522%44%11%0%
2.511%22%0%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlético AstorgaUD Ourense
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricAtlético AstorgaUD Ourense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAtlético AstorgaUD Ourense
Wins10
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-32-10-1
Biggest losses0-42-00-11-0
Goals For1321
Goals Against4211

Model comparison

MetricAtlético AstorgaUD Ourense
Form27%73%
Att33%67%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total25.0%75.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or UD Ourense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Unibet
Away2.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.74 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlético Astorga = 0.28 (league 1.45), UD Ourense = 1.94 (league 1.03)

UD Ourense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético Astorga 0 10.9% 21.2% 20.5% 13.3% 6.5% 2.5%
1 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
2 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.4% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 76.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1