Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio As Eiroas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.38) 0.96 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.7% 23.7% 20.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Atlético Astorga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bergantiños 0 6.8% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.7% 11.3% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.9% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBergantiñosAtlético Astorga
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack100%67%
Defense50%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bergantiños Atlético Astorga
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%40%50%0%40%20%
Draws40%40%40%40%0%20%
Loses0%20%10%60%60%60%

Form: Bergantiños: DLWDWWWWDD • Atlético Astorga: LLLWLLDLWD

League goals

Metric Bergantiños Atlético Astorga
HATHAT
GF total10515358
GF avg2.01.01.50.61.00.8
GA total54911617
GA avg1.00.80.92.21.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBergantiñosAtlético Astorga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%50%100%
1.540%30%20%40%
2.520%0%10%20%
3.510%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBergantiñosAtlético Astorga
HATHAT
Clean sheets224000
Failed to score112235

Penalties

MetricBergantiñosAtlético Astorga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBergantiñosAtlético Astorga
Wins41
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-21-3
Biggest losses2-10-42-0
Goals For4213
Goals Against2242

Model comparison

MetricBergantiñosAtlético Astorga
Form69%31%
Att64%36%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.3%35.0%

Advice: Double chance : Bergantiños or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ William Hill
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Superbet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bergantiños = 1.73 (league 1.38), Atlético Astorga = 0.96 (league 1.04)

Atlético Astorga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bergantiños 0 6.8% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.7% 11.3% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.9% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.7% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 20.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1